Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.004037 0.004524 0.005072 0.005738 0.006534 0.007464 0.008644
2026-01-11 0.003328 0.003941 0.004689 0.005685 0.007004 0.008736 0.011258
2026-01-18 0.002933 0.003604 0.004468 0.005695 0.007452 0.009981 0.014117
2026-01-25 0.002609 0.003292 0.004207 0.005569 0.007641 0.010854 0.016659
2026-02-01 0.002330 0.002998 0.003919 0.005343 0.007613 0.011356 0.018719
2026-02-08 0.002105 0.002751 0.003664 0.005119 0.007533 0.011731 0.020656
2026-02-15 0.001993 0.002651 0.003606 0.005182 0.007922 0.013006 0.024931
2026-02-22 0.001859 0.002505 0.003463 0.005086 0.008014 0.013736 0.028324
2026-03-01 0.001733 0.002360 0.003306 0.004946 0.007999 0.014242 0.031419
2026-03-08 0.001629 0.002242 0.003180 0.004842 0.008031 0.014853 0.035152
2026-03-15 0.001585 0.002209 0.003187 0.004969 0.008535 0.016662 0.043824
2026-03-22 0.001548 0.002187 0.003208 0.005121 0.009117 0.018854 0.055925
2026-03-29 0.001487 0.002125 0.003165 0.005168 0.009523 0.020864 0.070461
2026-04-05 0.001415 0.002042 0.003081 0.005128 0.009736 0.022467 0.086000
2026-04-12 0.001358 0.001980 0.003026 0.005137 0.010069 0.024596 0.109229
2026-04-19 0.001288 0.001892 0.002920 0.005028 0.010089 0.025732 0.129060
2026-04-26 0.001213 0.001789 0.002779 0.004832 0.009851 0.025896 0.142102
2026-05-03 0.001143 0.001694 0.002645 0.004637 0.009587 0.025886 0.154440
2026-05-10 0.001113 0.001663 0.002628 0.004692 0.010006 0.028725 0.210618
2026-05-17 0.001067 0.001603 0.002551 0.004608 0.010025 0.029967 0.255105
2026-05-24 0.001019 0.001538 0.002461 0.004486 0.009914 0.030616 0.296500
2026-05-31 0.000978 0.001483 0.002388 0.004395 0.009879 0.031632 0.357193
2026-06-07 0.000964 0.001474 0.002402 0.004507 0.010483 0.036187 0.587214